MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 03:58:58| >> :600:3948415:3948415:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 12, 2023 at 2.45pm UK
Florian Wellmann Stadion
Nuremberg logo

Oberneuland
1 - 9
Nuremberg

Lambers (89')
Hentschel (82')
FT(HT: 0-6)
Yilmaz Uzun (10', 14', 67'), Hayashi (15'), Gurleyen (19'), Duman (24', 29' pen.), Goller (71'), Daferner (90')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Oberneuland and Nuremberg.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Oberneuland 0-8 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, September 12 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
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Last Game: Nuremberg 2-2 Hannover
Sunday, August 6 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 76.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Oberneuland had a probability of 9.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.43%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a Oberneuland win it was 2-1 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-9 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.

Result
OberneulandDrawNuremberg
9.09% (0.0191 0.02) 14.12% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 76.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 53.67% (0.195 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.5% (0.194 0.19)30.49% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.21% (0.231 0.23)51.78% (-0.239 -0.24)
Oberneuland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.4% (0.181 0.18)42.59% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.05% (0.156 0.16)78.95% (-0.164 -0.16)
Nuremberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.5% (0.037000000000006 0.04)6.49% (-0.0451 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.74% (0.113 0.11)24.25% (-0.122 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Oberneuland 9.09%
    Nuremberg 76.79%
    Draw 14.12%
OberneulandDrawNuremberg
2-1 @ 2.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 2.36% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 9.09%
1-1 @ 6.45% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.77% (0.015 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.77% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 14.12%
0-2 @ 10.34% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 9.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 8.04% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-4 @ 6.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 5.5% (0.021 0.02)
0-5 @ 3.52% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 3.43% (0.023 0.02)
1-5 @ 3.01% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.35% (0.021 0.02)
0-6 @ 1.61% (0.006 0.01)
1-6 @ 1.37% (0.012 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.28% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 76.79%

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