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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Barnsley
2 - 0
Forest Green

Cole (15'), Martin (83')
Kitching (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Forest Green Rovers

Despite a poor run of late, Barnsley should still be good enough to get by Forest Green. Their experience should get them through the game, but the visitors will not make it an easy ride. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawForest Green Rovers
49.95% (-0.114 -0.11) 24.41% (0.038 0.04) 25.64% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.29% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.25% (-0.104 -0.1)47.75% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.06% (-0.096 -0.1)69.95% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)19.15% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.2% (-0.143 -0.14)50.8% (0.143 0.14)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.42% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 49.94%
    Forest Green Rovers 25.64%
    Draw 24.41%
BarnsleyDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 10.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.73% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 49.94%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 7% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 25.64%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Forest Green

Barnsley
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Forest Green Rovers
0.0%
10
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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