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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Barnsley

Oxford Utd
1 - 2
Barnsley

Moore (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thomas (30'), Cadden (58')
Kane (69'), Connell (75'), Collins (81'), Martin (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Barnsley

Putting the ball into the back of the net has not been a problem for Oxford United, but keeping the opposition at bay is not their forte, and a goal-happy Barnsley are sure to take advantage of such frailties. The Tykes' stellar defensive record on the road should also come into play, and even with a couple more injury concerns to work around, we still expect Duff's men to travel back to South Yorkshire with another three points in the bag. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barnsley in this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawBarnsley
43.71% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 25.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 30.85% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)48.94% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (-0.029 -0.03)71.02% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)22.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)55.81% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)29.57% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)65.6% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 43.71%
    Barnsley 30.85%
    Draw 25.43%
Oxford UnitedDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 9.9% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.42% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 43.71%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 8.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.85%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Barnsley

Oxford United
24.7%
Draw
24.7%
Barnsley
50.7%
73
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2019 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
2-2
Barnsley
Ruffels (25'), Mackie (48')
Nelson (36'), Dickie (90')
Thiam (70'), Moore (79')
Thiam (37'), Dougall (39'), Lindsay (66'), Williams (73'), Mowatt (87')
Aug 4, 2018 3pm
Apr 3, 2016 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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