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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
44.57% ( 0.01) | 23.84% ( 0) | 31.58% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.53% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.54% ( -0.01) | 41.46% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.14% ( -0.01) | 63.85% ( 0.01) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.14% ( 0) | 18.85% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.69% | 50.31% ( 0) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.6% ( -0.01) | 25.4% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.79% ( -0.02) | 60.21% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.4% Total : 44.57% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
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