Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lens in this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Lorient |
63.21% (![]() | 20.09% (![]() | 16.69% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.16% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.9% (![]() | 40.1% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.53% (![]() | 62.47% (![]() |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.92% (![]() | 12.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.38% (![]() | 37.62% (![]() |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.74% (![]() | 37.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.95% (![]() | 74.04% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Lorient |
2-0 @ 10.05% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.93% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.51% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.08% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.99% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.7% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.56% ( ![]() Other @ 3.78% Total : 63.21% | 1-1 @ 9.39% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.09% | 1-2 @ 4.64% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.44% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 2.28% Total : 16.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 58 | 20 | 38 | 53 |
2 | Marseille | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 43 |
3 | Nice | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 37 |
5 | Lille | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Lyon | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Lens | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 |
8 | Brest | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 31 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Toulouse | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 27 |
11 | Auxerre | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 24 |
12 | Rennes | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Angers | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Reims | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 22 |
15 | NantesNantes | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 21 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 18 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 17 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |