MX23RW : Tuesday, February 11 07:48:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lorient logo

Lens
2 - 0
Lorient

Wahi (57'), Costa (81')
Wahi (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bakayoko (20'), Katseris (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Lens
Sunday, April 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-2 Toulouse
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-0 Lorient

Neither side have been all that consistent of late, but Lorient have their share of glaring holes at the back when compared to Lens, and we believe the home side will be able to capitalise on that. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 16.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lens in this match.

Result
LensDrawLorient
63.21% (-0.339 -0.34) 20.09% (0.029999999999998 0.03) 16.69% (0.31 0.31)
Both teams to score 55.16% (0.598 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.9% (0.45 0.45)40.1% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.53% (0.463 0.46)62.47% (-0.462 -0.46)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.92% (0.043000000000006 0.04)12.08% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.38% (0.086999999999996 0.09)37.62% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.74% (0.65199999999999 0.65)37.26% (-0.651 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95% (0.636 0.64)74.04% (-0.63499999999999 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Lens 63.21%
    Lorient 16.69%
    Draw 20.09%
LensDrawLorient
2-0 @ 10.05% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-0 @ 7.08% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.99% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.74% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.7% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.067 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.82% (0.038 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 63.21%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.5% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.09%
1-2 @ 4.64% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 16.69%

How you voted: Lens vs Lorient

Lens
94.9%
Draw
2.5%
Lorient
2.5%
79
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 11
Lorient
0-0
Lens
Mvuka (40'), Mendy (90+1'), Toure (90+4')
Danso (48'), Samba (90+3'), Fulgini (90+6')
May 21, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 36
Lorient
1-3
Lens
Faivre (6')
Yongwa (71'), Kalulu (75')
Sotoca (20'), Thomasson (25'), Fofana (87')
Machado (39'), Medina (43')
Feb 9, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Lorient
1-1
Lens
(Aggregate 1-1 | Lens win 4-2 on penalties)
Le Fee (84')
Fulgini (21')
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Lens
5-2
Lorient
Sotoca (24', 77'), Said (28'), Abdul Samed (57'), Openda (86')
Gradit (63')
Moffi (41', 50')
Ouattara (58'), Abergel (60'), Moffi (64')
Feb 6, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 23
Lorient
2-0
Lens
Soumano (43'), Kone (76')

Wooh (45+1'), Haidara (79'), Frankowski (87')
Cahuzac (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG21165058203853
2Marseille21134445252043
3Nice21107441261537
4MonacoMonaco2111463728937
5Lille2198434221235
6Lyon2196636261033
7Lens219662520533
8Brest21101103336-331
9StrasbourgStrasbourg218673532330
10Toulouse217682324-127
11Auxerre216692935-624
12Rennes2172122930-123
13Angers2165102231-923
14Reims215792633-722
15NantesNantes214982432-821
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2153131945-2618
17Le HavreLe Havre2152141740-2317
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2143142048-2815


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