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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
Columbus Crew

Chicago Fire
1 - 3
Columbus Crew

Teran (85')
Czichos (24'), Gutierrez (45'), Navarro (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rossi (30'), Ramirez (55'), Russell-Rowe (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-1 Charlotte FC
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-3 Columbus Crew
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 0-2 Columbus Crew

With renewed confidence from a return to winning ways in the week, we anticipate the defending MLS champions being too strong for their struggling hosts in Illinois and taking another three-point haul. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 39%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawColumbus Crew
36.27% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 24.73% (0.026 0.03) 39% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 58.7% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.57% (-0.121 -0.12)44.43% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.2% (-0.115 -0.12)66.8% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.9% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)24.1% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.61% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)58.39% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)22.67% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69% (-0.131 -0.13)56.31% (0.128 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 36.27%
    Columbus Crew 39%
    Draw 24.72%
Chicago FireDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 8.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.77% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.53% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 36.27%
1-1 @ 11.53% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.72%
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew

Chicago Fire
12.5%
Draw
0.0%
Columbus Crew
87.5%
8
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 12.30am
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
Columbus Crew
3-0
Chicago Fire
Camilo Hernandez (8' pen., 16' pen., 23')

Brady (8'), Souquet (13'), Czichos (33'), Shaqiri (44'), Koutsias (72'), Przybylko (74')
Shaqiri (66')
Jun 11, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire
1-2
Columbus Crew
Shaqiri (88')
Navarro (45+5'), Herbers (89')
Camilo Hernandez (59'), Zelarayan (90+3')
Amundsen (20'), Zawadzki (29'), Farsi (81'), Zelarayan (90+5')
Sep 3, 2022 10.30pm
Columbus Crew
0-0
Chicago Fire
Diaz Espinoza (74')
Herbers (85'), Espinoza (90+7')
Jul 10, 2022 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami24155454381650
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati24153643301348
3Columbus Crew22127346202643
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls2491143930938
5New York City FCNY City2411493529637
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2410682825336
7Orlando City249693837133
8CF MontrealMontreal246993448-1427
9Toronto2583143347-1427
10Nashville SCNashville2468102636-1026
11DC United2568113550-1526
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2467113335-225
13Chicago Fire2467112940-1125
14Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2459104242024
15New England RevolutionNew England2271142246-2422

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy25137547341346
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake24128449311844
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles23135545301544
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2311574031938
5Colorado RapidsColorado2511594741638
6Seattle SoundersSeattle2410773426837
7Portland TimbersPortland2410684839936
8Houston DynamoHouston239773127434
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd2486103841-330
10Austin FCAustin2486102635-930
11Dallas2485113738-129
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2565144051-1123
13St Louis City24410103145-1422
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2442183159-2814


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