Major League Soccer
May 26, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Toronto3 - 4Cincinnati
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toronto 5-1 Montreal
Sunday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 St Louis City
Sunday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
19
We said: Toronto 1-2 FC Cincinnati
The Reds are vastly improved this year, but most of their contributions have come from their Designated Players, while they have not played many solid defensive units in recent games. Cincinnati have the composure needed to handle hostile environments and thrive in close games, and that consistency could propel them to a seventh successive MLS triumph. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
45.54% ( 0.86) | 23.89% ( -0.19) | 30.57% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 59.82% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.84% ( 0.58) | 42.16% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.43% ( 0.57) | 64.56% ( -0.57) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.26% ( 0.59) | 18.74% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.88% ( 0.98) | 50.12% ( -0.98) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% ( -0.14) | 26.38% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.46% ( -0.19) | 61.53% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
Toronto 45.54%
FC Cincinnati 30.57%
Draw 23.89%
| Toronto | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.41% Total : 45.54% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.57% |
How you voted: Toronto vs Cincinnati
Toronto
32.1%Draw
21.4%FC Cincinnati
46.4%28
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 12.30am
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
May 5, 2022 12.30am
Form Guide
