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Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
New England Revolution

Toronto
1 - 0
New England

Osei Owusu (66')
Petretta (8'), Polster (42'), Longstaff (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gil (29'), Osorio (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 3-2 Toronto
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 2-2 New England Revolution

Neither side have been particularly strong defensively of late, so we expect to see plenty of opportunities for each, though we do not believe either will do enough to earn the three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawNew England Revolution
43.98% (-0.522 -0.52) 24.42% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 31.6% (0.523 0.52)
Both teams to score 58.47% (0.255 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.83% (0.224 0.22)44.17% (-0.22600000000001 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.46% (0.221 0.22)66.54% (-0.22 -0.22)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (-0.13499999999999 -0.13)20.21% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.47% (-0.217 -0.22)52.53% (0.215 0.21)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.28% (0.444 0.44)26.72% (-0.446 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.02% (0.582 0.58)61.98% (-0.583 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 43.98%
    New England Revolution 31.6%
    Draw 24.42%
TorontoDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.9% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.047999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 43.98%
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.042 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 7.52% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.13% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.07% (0.057 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 31.6%

How you voted: Toronto vs New England

Toronto
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
New England Revolution
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 7pm
New England
0-1
Toronto
Insigne (27')
Bernardeschi (73'), Gomis (82'), Johnson (87'), Akinola (90+3')
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
Aug 18, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-2
New England
Bernardeschi (31' pen.), Criscito (75')
Akinola (35'), Laryea (78')
McNamara (37'), Rennicks (48')
Makoun (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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