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National League South | Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Mill Field

Aveley
1 - 1
Truro City

Gibbs (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Harvey (90+6')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Truro City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yeovil 3-1 Aveley
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-2 Truro City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 52.56%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
AveleyDrawTruro City
52.56% (-0.061 -0.06) 23.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.24% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 56.85% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.31% (0.096999999999994 0.1)43.69% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.92% (0.094999999999999 0.09)66.08% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.37% (0.013999999999996 0.01)16.63% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.54% (0.022999999999996 0.02)46.46% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.19% (0.11199999999999 0.11)31.81% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.75% (0.128 0.13)68.25% (-0.123 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 52.56%
    Truro City 24.24%
    Draw 23.2%
AveleyDrawTruro City
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.49% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.51% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.09% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 52.56%
1-1 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.2%
1-2 @ 6.23% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.47% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 24.24%

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