Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 52%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 24.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Eastleigh |
52% ( 0.47) | 23.85% ( 0.02) | 24.15% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 54.58% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.35% ( -0.5) | 46.66% ( 0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.08% ( -0.47) | 68.93% ( 0.48) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.07% ( -0.01) | 17.93% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.25% ( -0.02) | 48.75% ( 0.02) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.5% ( -0.68) | 33.5% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.86% ( -0.76) | 70.14% ( 0.76) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Eastleigh |
1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.55% Total : 52% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.85% | 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.32% Total : 24.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 30 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 27 |
3 | York City | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Gateshead | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Rochdale | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 24 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 17 |
14 | Tamworth | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Woking | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 16 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 14 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 14 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 13 |
21 | Fylde | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 12 |
22 | Boston UnitedBoston | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 6 |
> National League Full Table |