Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Barnet win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Southend United |
35.95% ( 2.17) | 24.95% ( 0.25) | 39.1% ( -2.42) |
Both teams to score 57.88% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.53% ( -0.75) | 45.47% ( 0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.19% ( -0.72) | 67.8% ( 0.72) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.24% ( 0.9) | 24.76% ( -0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.68% ( 1.24) | 59.32% ( -1.24) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.92% ( -1.51) | 23.08% ( 1.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.08% ( -2.26) | 56.91% ( 2.26) |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Southend United |
2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.31) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.86% Total : 35.95% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.37) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 3% ( -0.33) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.2) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.18% Total : 39.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 30 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 27 |
3 | York City | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Gateshead | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Rochdale | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 24 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 17 |
14 | Tamworth | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Woking | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 16 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 14 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 14 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 13 |
21 | Fylde | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 12 |
22 | Boston UnitedBoston | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 6 |
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