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Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Shrewsbury Town

Plymouth
1 - 0
Shrewsbury

Grant (62')
Houghton (32'), Camara (54'), Bolton (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vela (34')

Preview: Plymouth Argyle vs. Shrewsbury Town - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Plymouth Argyle will look to continue their bid to climb back into the top six of the League One table on Saturday, when they welcome Shrewsbury Town to Home Park.

The Pilgrims dropped out of the playoff places after a tough run of form but have since posted back-to-back victories heading into this weekend's clash.


Match preview

Plymouth Argyle manager Steven Schumacher on February 5, 2022© Reuters

After a strong start to the campaign, Plymouth Argyle's form took an eye-catching hit around the turn of the year, coinciding with the exit of former manager Ryan Lowe when the side were sat fourth.

The Pilgrims earned just two victories and eight points from a run of 10 games between November and January, but they have seemingly corrected their fortunes recently.

After being held to a draw in disappointing fashion by Fleetwood Town, they arrested a slump with a 3-1 away victory over Doncaster Rovers before narrowly falling short to European Champions Chelsea after extra time in their FA Cup fourth-round clash at Stamford Bridge, earning commendation in the process.

Now under the management of Steven Schumacher, the Home Park outfit made it back-to-back league wins on Tuesday, as they came from behind to defeat Crewe Alexandra 4-1 away from home with Ryan Hardie hitting a hat-trick alongside a Niall Ennis goal in an inspired second-half performance.

That saw Plymouth move back within three points of the top six, and, with a game in hand on most sides above them, the Pilgrims now sit in a far more enviable position in their pursuit of a playoff place, with the chance to further strengthen their bid on Saturday.

Shrewsbury Town's manager Steve Cotterill on January 15, 2022© Reuters

They welcome a Shrewsbury Town side who will look to end a seven-game winless run in League One, having previously earned a commendable tally of 29 points from their opening 24 matches.

The Shrews have since picked up just five points from the last seven outings, although that does include four straight draws heading into Saturday.

After 1-1 draws with Gillingham and Fleetwood Town, Steve Cotterill's side earned a particularly commendable point last time out, as they played out a goalless stalemate away at promotion-chasing Wycombe Wanderers on Tuesday.

Despite only suffering a single league defeat since the turn of the year, the Shrews have been harmed by their struggles to find victories recently, and, with just a five-point cushion between themselves and the relegation zone, they will be keen to end their drought and post an elusive win on their travels on Saturday.

Plymouth Argyle League One form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W

Plymouth Argyle form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W

Shrewsbury Town League One form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • D



Team News

Plymouth Argyle's Ryan Law celebrates after scoring their first goal on January 8, 2022© Reuters

Schumacher is likely to deploy an unchanged starting XI after his side's recent improvements, with Ryan Hardie bound to keep his place at the top end of the pitch after taking his tally to 12 league goals for the season with his hat-trick last time out.

Niall Ennis and Luke Jephcott have both also enjoyed stellar campaigns in front of goal, and they will battle to join Hardie in the front two.

Elsewhere, the back three of Macauley Gillesphey, Dan Scarr and James Wilson should not be altered after their solid recent displays.

Their visitors similarly have an established back three, with Matthew Pennington, Ethan Ebanks-Landell and Aaron Pierre impressing as a unit recently.

Striker Daniel Udoh will hope to return to the starting XI, with the Nigerian having been reduced to a substitute appearance last time out despite netting eight league goals so far this campaign.

Plymouth Argyle possible starting lineup:
Cooper; Wilson, Scarr, Gillesphey; Broom, Camara, Randell, Mayor, Law; Ennis, Hardie

Shrewsbury Town possible starting lineup:
Marosi; Pennington, Ebanks-Landell, Pierre; Bennett, Vela, Davis, Fornah, Nurse; Bowman, Udoh


SM words green background

We say: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Shrewsbury Town

Given the form of the two sides, we can only envisage a narrow home win on Saturday.

Shrewsbury have proven themselves to be tough to defeat, but, with renewed confidence, the hosts will back themselves to get over the line in what will be a tough test.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.


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Game History

How you voted: Plymouth vs Shrewsbury

Plymouth Argyle
82.4%
Draw
17.6%
Shrewsbury Town
0.0%
17
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