We said: Alanyaspor 1-1 Goztepe SK
Alanyaspor's capitulation in their last match raises questions about their resilience, while Goztepe demonstrated impressive tenacity in securing a draw against one of the league's top teams.
Although we believe the home side's unbeaten streak at home is no coincidence, we think they will likely settle for a draw rather than a victory against a visiting team that has shown such determination against stronger opposition.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Goztepe SK had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Goztepe SK win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.