MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 00:21:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 24
Feb 2, 2024 at 2pm UK
Antakya Ataturk Stadi

Hatayspor
3 - 1
Karagumruk

Massanga (41', 90+5'), Strandberg (51' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lasagna (86')
Ceccherini (48'), Keles (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adana Demirspor 0-1 Hatayspor
Saturday, January 27 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 4-0 Caykur Rizespor
Sunday, January 28 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Hatayspor 1-0 Fatih Karagumruk

Karagumruk's away form has been abysmal this season and this will give Hatayspor the upper hand in this fixture. The Star of the South will be looking to convert their home draws into wins, and this is the perfect opponent for them to achieve that. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.

Result
HataysporDrawFatih Karagumruk
48.88% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 24.52% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 26.59% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.81% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.52% (0.048000000000002 0.05)47.48% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (0.042999999999999 0.04)69.69% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.53% (0.044000000000011 0.04)19.47% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66% (0.071999999999996 0.07)51.33% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.06% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)31.94% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.61% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)68.39% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 48.88%
    Fatih Karagumruk 26.59%
    Draw 24.52%
HataysporDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 10.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 8.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 48.88%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 26.59%

How you voted: Hatayspor vs Karagumruk

Hatayspor
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Fatih Karagumruk
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 5
Karagumruk
0-0
Hatayspor
Sturaro (59'), Mendes (62'), Yalcin (90+9')
Lamkel Ze (45'), Kardesler (90+9')
Apr 16, 2023 5pm
Oct 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Karagumruk
3-0
Hatayspor
Caulker (36'), Borini (45+3'), Diagne (90+8' pen.)
Mar 12, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 29
Hatayspor
3-0
Karagumruk
Lobzhanidze (29'), El Kaabi (34', 58')
Oct 24, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 10
Karagumruk
1-1
Hatayspor
Pesic (38')
Eggen Hedenstad (35'), Balkovec (69'), Mor (87'), Torun (90+4')
Eggen Hedenstad (88')
El Kaabi (30')
Corekci (29'), Boudjemaa (90+4'), Ribeiro (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray19163052223051
2Fenerbahce18133245182742
3Samsunspor18113432181436
4Goztepe SKGoztepe SK1894537231431
5EyupsporEyupspor1886429191030
6BesiktasBesiktas188642820830
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul187562925426
8GaziantepGaziantep187472526-125
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor187381927-824
10TrabzonsporTrabzonspor185763024622
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor185761921-222
12KasimpasaKasimpasa184952430-621
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor186392137-1621
14KonyasporKonyaspor185582128-720
15SivassporSivasspor185582128-720
16KayserisporKayserispor183781734-1716
17Bodrumspor1843111425-1115
18Hatayspor1917111732-1510
19Adana Demirspor1822141538-235


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