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Italy national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
Switzerland national football team

Italy
1 - 1
Switzerland

Di Lorenzo (36')
Chiesa (43'), Insigne (47')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Widmer (11')
Schar (77'), Akanji (81'), Garcia (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Italy and Switzerland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Italy could line up in Friday's World Cup 2022 qualifier against Switzerland.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Switzerland had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Switzerland win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
ItalyDrawSwitzerland
55.77%26.1%18.13%
Both teams to score 40.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.72%61.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.8%81.2%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81%22.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.41%55.59%
Switzerland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.88%48.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.68%83.32%
Score Analysis
    Italy 55.77%
    Switzerland 18.13%
    Draw 26.08%
ItalyDrawSwitzerland
1-0 @ 16.07%
2-0 @ 12.1%
2-1 @ 8.85%
3-0 @ 6.07%
3-1 @ 4.44%
4-0 @ 2.29%
4-1 @ 1.67%
3-2 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 55.77%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 10.67%
2-2 @ 3.24%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 7.81%
1-2 @ 4.3%
0-2 @ 2.86%
1-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 18.13%

How you voted: Italy vs Switzerland

Italy
80.4%
Draw
11.7%
Switzerland
7.8%
230
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
0-0
Italy
Sow (6'), Aebischer (59'), Elvedi (68'), Frei (87')
Chiellini (41')
Jun 16, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Italy
3-0
Switzerland
Locatelli (26', 52'), Immobile (89')

Gavranovic (49'), Embolo (79')
rhs 2.0
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