Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.