Copa del Rey | Round of 16

Jan 17, 2023 at 6pm UK

Reale Arena

Real Sociedad
1 - 0
Mallorca

Navarro (5')
Mendez (26'), Pacheco (53'), Le Normand (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cufre (41'), Gonzalez (52'), Copete (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa del Rey Round of 16 clash between Real Sociedad and Mallorca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Real Sociedad 3-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, January 14 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mallorca

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Mallorca
Saturday, January 14 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 22.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Sociedad in this match.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Mallorca
49.1% ( -0.62)	27.99% ( 0.48)	22.91% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 41.66% (

-1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.1% (

-1.41)

62.9% (

1.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.61% (

-1.04)

82.39% (

1.04)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.1% (

-0.94)

25.91% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.1% (

-1.29)

60.9% (

1.29)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.22% (

-0.68)

43.78% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.06% (

-0.57)

79.94% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 49.09%

Mallorca 22.91%

Draw 27.99%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Mallorca
1-0 @ 15.32% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.92% Total : 49.09%	1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.99%	0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.91%