MX23RW : Thursday, June 12 12:16:14| >> :600:624668:624668:
Greece national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 10, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
Bulgaria national football team

Greece
4 - 0
Bulgaria

Pelkas (51'), Ioannidis (66'), Tzolis (74'), Konstantelias (89')
Rota (38'), Kourbelis (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gruev (62')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Greece and Bulgaria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Greece 4-1 Slovakia
Saturday, June 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Bulgaria

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Bulgaria 2-2 Cyprus
Friday, June 6 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 17.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.

Result
GreeceDrawBulgaria
60.14% (-0.291 -0.29) 22.67% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 17.18% (0.197 0.2)
Both teams to score 47.8% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.6% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)50.4% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.66% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)72.34% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.63% (-0.124 -0.12)16.36% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.01% (-0.224 -0.22)45.98% (0.224 0.22)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.16% (0.202 0.2)42.84% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.84% (0.174 0.17)79.15% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Greece 60.13%
    Bulgaria 17.18%
    Draw 22.66%
GreeceDrawBulgaria
1-0 @ 12.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.48% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.74%
3-0 @ 6.93% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.14% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 60.13%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.01% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 22.66%
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.049 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.56% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.52% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 17.18%

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