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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
36.52% ( 0.21) | 26% ( -0.02) | 37.48% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 54.24% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.84% ( 0.1) | 50.16% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.88% ( 0.09) | 72.12% ( -0.09) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.38% ( 0.17) | 26.62% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.15% ( 0.22) | 61.85% ( -0.22) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.92% ( -0.06) | 26.08% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.87% ( -0.08) | 61.13% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 36.52% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |