League One

League One | Gameweek 26

Apr 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

DW Stadium

Wigan
3 - 0
Accrington

Bennett (37'), Magennis (42'), Keane (58')
Bennett (33'), Naylor (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Nottingham (36'), (42'), Bagueloc'rich (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wigan Athletic

Last Six:

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Wigan
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Wigan Athletic	46	38	92
2	Rotherham United	46	37	90
3	MK Dons	46	34	89

Accrington Stanley

Last Six:

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-4 Accrington
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Ipswich Town	46	21	70
12	Accrington Stanley	46	-19	61
13	Charlton Athletic	46	-4	59

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-0 Accrington Stanley

While Wigan could be a touch rusty after such an unwanted layoff, they certainly retain the edge in quality over Accrington, who are never the most secure defensively and have problems of their own. Though they managed to secure a point last time out despite depleted resources and illness sweeping through the camp, the visitors will surely not be able to replicate that showing and will come up short. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 69.34%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 11.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.32%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.

Result
Wigan Athletic	Draw	Accrington Stanley
69.34%	18.96%	11.69%

Both teams to score 45.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54%

45.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.7%

68.3%

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.88%

12.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.29%

37.7%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.81%

48.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.63%

83.37%

Score Analysis

Wigan Athletic 69.33%

Accrington Stanley 11.69%

Draw 18.96%

Wigan Athletic	Draw	Accrington Stanley
2-0 @ 13% 1-0 @ 12.32% 2-1 @ 9.5% 3-0 @ 9.15% 3-1 @ 6.68% 4-0 @ 4.83% 4-1 @ 3.52% 3-2 @ 2.44% 5-0 @ 2.04% 5-1 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.09% Total : 69.33%	1-1 @ 9% 0-0 @ 5.84% 2-2 @ 3.47% Other @ 0.65% Total : 18.96%	0-1 @ 4.27% 1-2 @ 3.29% 0-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.59% Total : 11.69%