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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
Walsall

Carlisle
1 - 1
Walsall

Hayden (22')
Embleton (60'), Hayden (85'), Davies (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Allen (7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Carlisle
Thursday, February 27 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 0-1 Swindon
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Walsall

Given this match is a clash of top against bottom, Walsall will be huge favourites to take what would be an important three points. However, Carlisle have already improved under Hughes, and considering the defensive strength they have shown in recent games, it would come as no surprise to see the Sadlers drop more points on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 46.31%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawWalsall
26.57% (0.0030000000000001 0) 27.13% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 46.31% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 46.96% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.29% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)57.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)78.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)37.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)74.24% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.47% (0.00099999999999767 0)59.54%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 26.57%
    Walsall 46.3%
    Draw 27.12%
Carlisle UnitedDrawWalsall
1-0 @ 9.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 26.57%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 9.33% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 12.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.85%
0-3 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 4.1%
2-3 @ 2.01%
0-4 @ 1.45%
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 46.3%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Walsall

Carlisle United
66.7%
Draw
8.3%
Walsall
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Walsall
3-1
Carlisle
Lowe (2'), Jellis (49'), Matt (56')
Jellis (44'), Matt (53')
Mellish (83')
Thomas (22'), Lavelle (55')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Walsall
2-1
Carlisle
Williams (88'), James-Taylor (90+3')
Edmondson (29')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Walsall
1-0
Carlisle
Earing (45+2')
White (11'), Kiernan (61'), Rushworth (90+6')

Simeu (7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall37209867432469
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4Notts County361710955371861
5AFC Wimbledon361791047252260
6Port Vale35151374437758
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town36175145153-256
9Colchester UnitedColchester36131674233955
10Bromley371313114845352
11Salford City361311124341250
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham361310134851-349
14Chesterfield351391356431348
15Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport36127174561-1643
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington36109174454-1039
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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