We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Walsall
Given this match is a clash of top against bottom, Walsall will be huge favourites to take what would be an important three points.
However, Carlisle have already improved under Hughes, and considering the defensive strength they have shown in recent games, it would come as no surprise to see the Sadlers drop more points on Tuesday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 46.31%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.