MX23RW : Saturday, March 15 08:37:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 34
Feb 27, 2025 at 8pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Carlisle United

Barrow
0 - 1
Carlisle


Cameron (36'), Canavan (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dennis (19')
Dennis (87'), Davies (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Barrow and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 3-0 Barrow
Saturday, February 22 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Gillingham
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 1-0 Carlisle United

Neither side have had particularly impressive campaigns, but Barrow have been good at home throughout the season. We think that they will get revenge for their defeat to Carlisle earlier in the campaign and grab the three points against their Cumbrian rivals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
BarrowDrawCarlisle United
45.02% (0.209 0.21) 27.23% (-0.063999999999997 -0.06) 27.75% (-0.142 -0.14)
Both teams to score 47.47% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.54% (0.15799999999999 0.16)57.46% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.74% (0.124 0.12)78.26% (-0.121 -0.12)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (0.17599999999999 0.18)25.43% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (0.238 0.24)60.25% (-0.236 -0.24)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.66% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)36.34% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.87% (-0.032 -0.03)73.13% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 45.02%
    Carlisle United 27.75%
    Draw 27.23%
BarrowDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 12.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.66% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 4% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.95% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 45.02%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.24% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.74% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 27.75%

How you voted: Barrow vs Carlisle

Barrow
68.4%
Draw
14.0%
Carlisle United
17.5%
57
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Carlisle
1-0
Barrow
Adu-Adjei (35')
Wyke (24'), Hayden (43'), Barclay (62'), Davies (82'), Vela (90+5')

Vassell (37'), Gotts (45+2')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Barrow
0-1
Carlisle
Barclay (16')
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Carlisle
5-1
Barrow
Mellish (44', 67'), Garner (50'), Patrick (72'), Dennis (89' pen.)
Barclay (84' og.)
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Barrow
2-0
Carlisle
Kay (69'), Foley (80')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Barrow
1-2
Carlisle
Banks (78')
Farman (65'), Rooney (90')
Gibson (32'), Dennis (75')
Mellish (47'), Dennis (76'), Dickenson (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall37209867432469
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4Notts County361710955371861
5AFC Wimbledon361791047252260
6Port Vale35151374437758
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town36175145153-256
9Colchester UnitedColchester36131674233955
10Bromley371313114845352
11Salford City361311124341250
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham361310134851-349
14Chesterfield351391356431348
15Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport36127174561-1643
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington36109174454-1039
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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