Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.