Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.87%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union.