MX23RW : Tuesday, October 8 03:01:27| >> :600:267653:267653:
[monks data]
Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 8
Jul 1, 2021 at 11pm UK
Mineirão

Atletico Mineiro
4 - 1
Atletico GO

Zaracho (27', 37'), Fernandez (42', 89')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Freitas (45+1')
Natanael (39'), Janderson (70')

Preview: Atletico Mineiro vs. Atletico Goianiense - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Atletico Goianiense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Atletico Mineiro and Atletico Goianiense square off on Thursday in an important game at the top end of the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A table.

The two sides currently sit level on points in eighth and seventh spots respectively, with the visitors leading on goal difference with a game in hand.


Match preview

Atletico Mineiro's Eduardo Vargas celebrates scoring their fourth goal with teammates on May 4, 2021© Reuters

After a positive start to the season, collecting nine points from their opening four games, Atletico Mineiro have hit somewhat of a dip in form coming into Thursday's clash.

Following five consecutive wins in all competitions, three of which coming in the Brazilian top flight, Cuca's men were held to a somewhat disappointing draw by strugglers Chapecoense as a Ravanelli penalty in the 80th minute drew the newly-promoted side level after Tche Tche's early opener.

They then suffered consecutive defeats, firstly losing 2-1 away against Ceara as they were the victims of late drama.

The game looked set to end 1-1 after Gabriel's 72nd-minute equaliser for the Alvinegro, only for Ceara centre-back Gabriel Lacerda to hit the winner in the 96th minute to snatch all three points and send Cuca's side home empty-handed.

That was followed by a second straight defeat last time out, as Jean Mota put Santos ahead on the hour mark before Marcos Guilherme sealed the result with a goal in the dying minutes.

As a result of their poor run of results in recent weeks, Atletico Mineiro have slipped down to eighth spot in the table, but a win would see them leapfrog their opponents and potentially rise as high as second place, giving Cuca's men plenty of motivation to make a return to winning ways.

Atletico Mineiro coach Cuca during the match on May 19, 2021© Reuters

Atletico Goianiense find themselves in an almost identical position, while they will look to put a gap between themselves and Thursday's hosts while keeping a game in hand.

They also enjoyed a strong start to the league season, but have since lost two of their last three games, firstly falling to a 2-1 defeat in a tough clash with high-flying Athletico Paranaense.

Eduardo Barroca's side bounced back immediately from that, as a Nathan Silva goal in the 81st minute fired them to a 1-0 win over Fluminense.

They were on the wrong end of a very similar game last time out, though, as league leaders Bragantino picked up a narrow 1-0 win thanks to Weverton's goal in the 82nd minute.

While that result against an unbeaten side is not overly disheartening, they will be desperate to make a return to winning ways to quickly climb back towards the top four, as they currently remain in a strong position on 10 points from their six games, while most other sides have played seven times.

Atletico Mineiro Brasileiro form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L

Atletico Mineiro form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L

Atletico Goianiense Brasileiro form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L

Atletico Goianiense form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

Atletico Mineiro's Hulk celebrates scoring their third goal on May 26, 2021© Reuters

Atletico Mineiro come into the game without a long list of players, as a coronavirus outbreak has ruled out Eduardo Sasha, Dylan Borrero, Nathan De Souza, Ignacio Fernandez, Marrony and Micael.

Meanwhile, important midfielder Allan Rodrigues de Souza will also miss out as he will serve a one-game suspension following his red card in the dying minutes of their recent defeat to Santos.

Their line will be led by experienced forward Hulk, who will look to add to his tally of two goals and an assist in Brasileiro action so far this season.

Atletico Goianiense are also missing several players through injuries, as Joao Paulo and Ronald both remain out of action.

Nathan Silva will continue to be a key man at the heart of the back line, having featured in every minute of league action so far this season while scoring one of their five league goals.

Atletico Mineiro possible starting lineup:
Everson; Guga, Gabriel, Rever, Arana; Jair, Tche Tche, Calebe; Hyoran, Hulk, Keno

Atletico Goianiense possible starting lineup:
Fernando; Dudu, Silva, Eder, Carius; Freitas, Maranhao; Janderson, Arthur, Natanael; Roberto


SM words green background

We say: Atletico Mineiro 0-1 Atletico Goianiense

In a game between two fairly low-scoring sides, we see this being a particularly cagey affair, with one goal expected to decide it.

On this occasion, we see the visitors as the slightly more likely of the two teams to come away with the points, given their solidity at the back, while the Alvinegro may have slightly more weaknesses as a result of their depleted squad.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:453309:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect10548:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Atletico GO

Atletico Mineiro
34.1%
Draw
22.0%
Atletico Goianiense
43.9%
41
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Brazil's forward Kenedy celebrates his goal against Venezuela during the South American U-20 football match at Domingo Burgueno stadium in Maldonado, 130 km east of Montevideo, on January 19, 2015
Read Next:
Chelsea 'want to seal £4.5m Kenedy deal'
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo29186547252260
2PalmeirasPalmeiras29176646202657
3FortalezaFortaleza2916763829955
4FlamengoFlamengo28156745321351
5Sao Paulo29145103832647
6InternacionalInternacional281210637261146
7Bahia29136103933645
8Cruzeiro29127103529643
9Vasco da GamaVasco28107113238-637
10Atletico Mineiro2791083840-237
11Gremio28105133235-335
12CriciumaCriciuma2998123642-635
13BragantinoBragantino29810113438-434
14JuventudeJuventude29810113339-634
15Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR2787122731-431
16Fluminense2886142230-830
17Vitoria2985163244-1229
18Corinthians29611122938-929
19Cuiaba2868142539-1426
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO2956182247-2521


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!