Brasileiro | Gameweek 26
Sep 15, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia3 - 0Atletico Mineiro
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Atletico Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Bahia
Friday, September 13 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil
Friday, September 13 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil
Goals
for
for
34
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-0 Sao Paulo
Friday, September 13 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil
Friday, September 13 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
38.47% ( -0.1) | 28.22% ( 0.06) | 33.31% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.91% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
