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Bahia
Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 29, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Flamengo

Bahia
0 - 1
Flamengo

Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Quarter-Finals clash between Bahia and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bahia 0-0 Botafogo
Sunday, August 25 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
BahiaDrawFlamengo
43.77% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 26.63% (-0.012 -0.01) 29.61% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.31% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.67% (0.042000000000002 0.04)54.33% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (0.035 0.04)75.71% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (0.039000000000001 0.04)24.65% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82% (0.052 0.05)59.18% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.78% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.22% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.17% (0.0039999999999978 0)69.83% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 43.77%
    Flamengo 29.61%
    Draw 26.62%
BahiaDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 11.47%
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.03% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 43.77%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 9.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 29.61%

Head to Head
Jun 21, 2024 12am
Gameweek 10
Flamengo
2-1
Bahia
Gerson (23'), Luiz (90+4')
Ortiz (34')
Stum (35')
Lucas (69')
Sep 30, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 25
Flamengo
1-0
Bahia
Pedro (61' pen.)
Maia (24')

Yago (60'), Rezende (61')
Kanu (49')
May 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Bahia
2-3
Flamengo
Teixeira (35'), Ademir (51')
Hugo (26'), Rezende (39'), Duarte (47'), Ademir (55'), Yago (60'), Kanu (74')
Rezende (74'), Kanu (77')
Franca (23'), Barbosa (29' pen.), Luiz (45+4')
Vidal (51'), Bruno (62'), Pereira (87'), Lucas (90+4'), De Arrascaeta (90+3')
Nov 11, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 31
Flamengo
3-0
Bahia
Barbosa (32' pen.), Michael (58'), Pereira (89')
Diego (63')

Bahia (19'), Conti (30')
Bahia (42'), Rossi (63')
Jul 18, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 12
Bahia
0-5
Flamengo

Bahia (29'), Gilberto (54'), Capixaba (55'), Galdezani (60'), Edson (81')
Barbosa (23' pen., 41', 62'), Pedro (74'), Vitinho (84')
Diego (47')
rhs 2.0
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