Brasileiro | Gameweek 38
Nov 13, 2022 at 7pm UK
Castelao
Ceara4 - 1Juventude
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Juventude.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Avai 2-0 Ceara
Wednesday, November 9 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Wednesday, November 9 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Juventude 2-2 Flamengo
Thursday, November 10 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, November 10 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
28
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 67.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 13.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Juventude win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.
Result | ||
Ceara | Draw | Juventude |
67.36% ( -0.27) | 18.71% ( 0.02) | 13.92% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 53.11% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.57% ( 0.47) | 39.43% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.22% ( 0.49) | 61.77% ( -0.49) |
Ceara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.22% ( 0.06) | 10.78% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.2% ( 0.14) | 34.8% ( -0.14) |
Juventude Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.53% ( 0.66) | 40.47% ( -0.66) |