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Coupe de France | Round of 16
Apr 7, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
 

Canet Roussillon
1 - 0
Boulogne

Bai (42')
Posteraro (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Frikeche (54')

Preview: Canet Roussillon vs. Boulogne - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Canet Roussillon and Boulogne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Canet Roussillon take on Boulogne in the last 16 of the Coupe de France on Wednesday.

The clubs are two of nine sides currently competing outside of Ligue 1 to have made it as far as this stage of France's domestic cup this season.


Match preview

Indeed, having been promoted from the fifth tier of French football last season, Canet Roussillon have been denied the opportunity of a full season at a higher level this season.

Farid Fouzari's side were 12th in Group D of the Championnat National 2 level after nine games before the campaign was declared null and void due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

As such, Canet Roussillon's only competitive matches since the turn of the year have been the Coupe de France games they have won to progress to this stage of the competition, with their win against Marseille in the last round in March arguably one of the biggest shocks in the competition's history.

Jeremy Posteraro and Yohan Bai scored either side of Arkadiusz Milik's equaliser to set up the chance to reach the quarter-final of the competition by beating Boulogne on Wednesday.

Having been third in the third tier of French football prior to the curtailment of last season due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Boulogne were denied the opportunity of a playoff against the 18th-placed side in Ligue 2 to earn promotion.

Their misfortune has developed into a serious malaise this season, with Laurent Guyot's side currently staring relegation in the face having amassed only 23 points from 25 league matches so sit bottom of the Championnat National table.

Guyot's side do have games in hand on their rivals, though, with the Coupe de France providing a welcome respite from their league struggles.

Boulogne have not had the chance to record an upset on the scale of Canet Roussillon's against Marseille, but Guyot will not complain regarding any allegations that his side have been handed a rather kind route to this stage of the competition.

Canet Roussillon Coupe de France form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Boulogne Coupe de France form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Boulogne form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • D



Team News

Canet Roussillon are likely to keep faith with the same players who helped notch their historic victory against Marseille in the last round of the competition.

There may be an element of rustiness given that it is a month since their last competitive match, but Bai and Posteraro will be hoping that they can perform similar heroics.

Boulogne, meanwhile, may also look to select the same XI which comfortably defeated Beauvais in the previous round.

Oussama Adbeldjelil and Christian Senneville were the goalscorers on the day.

Canet Roussillon possible starting lineup:
Graves; Martin, Diarra, Mbimba, Ba; Bai, Posteraro, Gasparotto; Pioton, Vercruysse, Lybohy

Boulogne possible starting lineup:
Lugier; Oyono, Mendy, Frikeche, Duterte; Beghin, Bumbu, Eto'o; Moussaki, Odzoumo, Abdeldjelil


SM words green background

We say: Canet Roussillon 1-1 Boulogne

Boulogne have drawn five league matches in a row, so we can envisage this one going all the way to penalties after a tight encounter.

After their magnificent win against Marseille in the last round, Canet Roussillon will feel that they have the magic of the cup on their side, which could be a huge boost in terms of their chances of progressing against another higher-ranked club.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boulogne win with a probability of 68.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Canet Roussillon had a probability of 11.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boulogne win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.95%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Canet Roussillon win it was 1-0 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Canet Roussillon vs Boulogne

Canet Roussillon
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Boulogne
57.1%
7
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