MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 12:23:21| >> :60:469:469:
Curacao national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Oct 13, 2023 at 10pm UK
Stadion Ergilio Hato
Panama national football team

Curacao
1 - 2
Panama

Janga (90+5')
Gorre (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Joel Barcenas (29'), Luis Rodriguez (77')
Martinez (44'), Murillo (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Curacao and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Curacao

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Martinique 1-0 Curacao
Monday, September 11 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Panama

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guatemala 1-1 Panama
Monday, September 11 at 1.06am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Curacao 0-2 Panama

 With rumoured discontent among the group and sitting joint-bottom on zero points following a poor year, Curacao are likely to be out of contention for a quarter-final spot by the end of this week. Panama will look to keep their fine run going with another positive result here with a quarter-final place within touching distance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 47.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Curacao had a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Curacao win it was 1-0 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
CuracaoDrawPanama
24.87% (2.154 2.15) 27.35% (0.225 0.22) 47.78% (-2.385 -2.39)
Both teams to score 45.04% (1.434 1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.5% (0.777 0.78)59.5% (-0.783 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.14% (0.593 0.59)79.85% (-0.599 -0.6)
Curacao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.05% (2.503 2.5)39.94% (-2.508 -2.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.4% (2.221 2.22)76.6% (-2.227 -2.23)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (-0.777 -0.78)25% (0.771 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (-1.088 -1.09)59.65% (1.082 1.08)
Score Analysis
    Curacao 24.87%
    Panama 47.77%
    Draw 27.34%
CuracaoDrawPanama
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.352 0.35)
2-1 @ 5.83% (0.477 0.48)
2-0 @ 4.21% (0.43 0.43)
3-1 @ 1.78% (0.255 0.26)
3-0 @ 1.29% (0.208 0.21)
3-2 @ 1.24% (0.153 0.15)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 24.87%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 9.99% (-0.295 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.247 0.25)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 13.84% (-0.74 -0.74)
0-2 @ 9.6% (-0.734 -0.73)
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.43% (-0.451 -0.45)
1-3 @ 4.07% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.074 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.194 -0.19)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 47.77%

How you voted: Curacao vs Panama

Curacao
14.3%
Draw
4.8%
Panama
81.0%
21
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2021 12am
Second Round 2nd Leg
Curacao
0-0
Panama
> Preview
Jun 13, 2021 12.05am
Second Round 1st Leg
Panama
2-1
Curacao
Antonia (37'), Anita (40'), Gaari (65')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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