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Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 27, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Palestino
2 - 1
Portuguesa

Marabel (8'), Roman (69')
Palacio (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ali Meza (80')
Sulbaran (77'), Moreno (82'), Ali Meza (88')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Palestino and Portuguesa.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Portuguesa 1-2 Palestino
Tuesday, February 20 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Portuguesa 1-2 Palestino
Tuesday, February 20 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Portuguesa had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Portuguesa win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palestino would win this match.

Result
PalestinoDrawPortuguesa
56.03% (-1.653 -1.65) 24.27% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 19.69% (1.564 1.56)
Both teams to score 47.43% (2.229 2.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.81% (1.632 1.63)53.19% (-1.633 -1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.24% (1.369 1.37)74.75% (-1.371 -1.37)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)18.86% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.68% (-0.012 -0.01)50.32% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Portuguesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.46% (2.755 2.76)41.53% (-2.757 -2.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.97% (2.332 2.33)78.03% (-2.333 -2.33)
Score Analysis
    Palestino 56.02%
    Portuguesa 19.69%
    Draw 24.27%
PalestinoDrawPortuguesa
1-0 @ 13.06% (-0.87 -0.87)
2-0 @ 10.89% (-0.73 -0.73)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 6.06% (-0.404 -0.4)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.53% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.195 0.2)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 56.02%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 7.83% (-0.517 -0.52)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.353 0.35)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 24.27%
0-1 @ 6.88% (0.083 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.04% (0.424 0.42)
0-2 @ 3.02% (0.255 0.26)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.223 0.22)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.186 0.19)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 19.69%

Head to Head
Feb 20, 2024 10pm
Second Round 1st Leg
Portuguesa
1-2
Palestino
Rodriguez (9')
Rodriguez (69')
Carrasco (15' pen.), Sosa (31')
Linares (76')
rhs 2.0
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