MX23RW : Monday, July 15 02:49:17| >> :60:1819:1819:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 11, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez

Lanus
2 - 1
Deportivo Garcilaso

Pena Biafore (26'), Bou (63')
Munoz (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Erustes (45+4')
Gomez (68')
Urruti (12')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Lanus and Deportivo Garcilaso.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 2-0 Lanus
Sunday, April 7 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Deportivo Garcilaso 3-2 Metropolitanos
Thursday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Deportivo Garcilaso had a probability of 12.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.59%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Deportivo Garcilaso win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
LanusDrawDeportivo Garcilaso
67.68% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 20.23% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 12.08% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 42.85% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)50.33% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.73% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)72.27% (0.027999999999992 0.03)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.08% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)13.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.64% (0.015000000000001 0.02)41.36% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Deportivo Garcilaso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.77% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)50.23% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.18% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)84.81% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 67.67%
    Deportivo Garcilaso 12.08%
    Draw 20.23%
LanusDrawDeportivo Garcilaso
1-0 @ 13.78% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 13.59% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.94% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 4.41% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 67.67%
1-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.23%
0-1 @ 4.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.66% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 12.08%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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