MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 22:58:02| >> :60:24:24:
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna
Medellin

Palestino
2 - 2
Medellin

Roman (48'), Benitez (50')
Linares (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Varela (41', 90+3')
Perlaza (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Palestino and Independiente Medellin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Cuiaba 1-2 Palestino
Thursday, July 25 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Medellin 4-0 Always Ready
Thursday, May 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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We said: Palestino 1-1 Independiente Medellin

Palestino are inconsistent going into this match and do not appear to be a side capable of punishing Independiente Medellin, even though visitors find it difficult to win but seem to have enough to secure draws. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Independiente Medellin win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
PalestinoDrawIndependiente Medellin
39.04% (-0.207 -0.21) 26.93% (0.086000000000002 0.09) 34.02% (0.12 0.12)
Both teams to score 50.91% (-0.252 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.72% (-0.328 -0.33)54.27% (0.325 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.33% (-0.275 -0.27)75.67% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.88% (-0.26899999999999 -0.27)27.12% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.49% (-0.351 -0.35)62.51% (0.35 0.35)
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.86% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)30.14% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.71% (-0.105 -0.1)66.29% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Palestino 39.04%
    Independiente Medellin 34.02%
    Draw 26.93%
PalestinoDrawIndependiente Medellin
1-0 @ 10.66% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 39.04%
1-1 @ 12.79% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.17% (0.104 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 9.8% (0.101 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 34.02%

How you voted: Palestino vs Medellin

Palestino
50.0%
Draw
40.0%
Independiente Medellin
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2019 11.30pm
Second Stage
Medellin
1-1
Palestino
(Aggregate 1-1 | Palestino win 4-1 on penalties)
Murillo (45')
Angulo (45')
Jimenez (42')
Jimenez (43'), Gonzalez (45'), Mago (45'), Soto (92')
Feb 6, 2019 11.30pm
Second Stage
Palestino
1-1
Medellin
Fernandez (64')
Fernandez (74'), Guerrero (77')
Cano (60')
Mosquera (27'), Parra (61'), Angulo (70')
rhs 2.0
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