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Europa League
Europa League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 6pm UK
Futbalovy stadion MFK Ruzomberok

Ruzomberok
5 - 2
Tobol

Gabriel (11', 88'), Selecky (40'), Maly (45+3'), Madlenak (77')
Gabriel (56'), Selecky (66'), Luteran (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Ivanovic (9'), Henen (45')
Chesnokov (33'), Gabaraev (47'), Shakhov (64'), Alioune N'Diaye (90+1'), Miladinovic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between MFK Ruzomberok and Tobol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MFK Ruzomberok

All competitions
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 5-1 Ruzomberok
Saturday, May 18 at 4pm in Slovak First Football League

Tobol

All competitions
Last Game: Plzen 3-0 Tobol
Thursday, August 31 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Banska Bystrica0nan
2Dunajska Streda0nan
3FK Kosice0nan
4Komarno0nan
5Ruzomberok0nan
6Podbrezova0nan
7Skalica0nan
8Slovan Bratislava0nan
9Spartak Trnava0nan
10Trencin0nan
11Michalovce0nan
12Zilina0nan

We said: MFK Ruzomberok 2-2 Tobol

 Tobol proved in last season's Europa League qualifying that they can compete on the European stage, and we think that they will do enough to hold Ruzomberok to a draw, which would represent a positive result ahead of the second leg on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MFK Ruzomberok win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MFK Ruzomberok win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Tobol win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MFK Ruzomberok would win this match.

Result
MFK RuzomberokDrawTobol
43.62% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07) 26.76% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 29.62% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.93% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.17% (0.073999999999998 0.07)54.83% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.87% (0.061 0.06)76.13% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
MFK Ruzomberok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05%24.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)59.59%
Tobol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (0.097999999999999 0.1)33.47% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89% (0.107 0.11)70.11% (-0.108 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    MFK Ruzomberok 43.61%
    Tobol 29.62%
    Draw 26.76%
MFK RuzomberokDrawTobol
1-0 @ 11.59% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.72% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 43.61%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 5% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 29.62%

How you voted: Ruzomberok vs Tobol

MFK Ruzomberok
52.9%
Draw
35.3%
Tobol
11.8%
34
rhs 2.0
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