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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 58.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Lincoln City |
58.44% ( 1.45) | 22.67% ( -0.56) | 18.89% ( -0.89) |
Both teams to score 50.9% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.12% ( 1.1) | 47.89% ( -1.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.94% ( 1) | 70.07% ( -0.99) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.93% ( 0.89) | 16.07% ( -0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.55% ( 1.6) | 45.45% ( -1.59) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.65% ( -0.34) | 39.35% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.95% ( -0.32) | 76.05% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Lincoln City |
1-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.16% Total : 58.43% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.67% | 0-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 18.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |