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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
County Ground
Forest Green Rovers

Swindon
2 - 1
Forest Green

Kemp (56', 81')
Hutton (71'), Minturn (90+7'), Young (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Taylor (74')
Dabo (15'), Deeney (16'), Jenks (21'), Robson (43'), Bendle (80'), Inniss (87')
Deeney (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Wrexham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 4-2 Forest Green
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-2 Forest Green Rovers

 Neither side have been particularly sharp over 90 minutes this month, but we believe the visitors will make life difficult for a Swindon side that seem to be their own worst enemies and where frustration appears to be growing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawForest Green Rovers
47.15% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 24.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 28.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.47% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.28% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)44.72% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.92% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)67.08% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.91% (0.010999999999996 0.01)19.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.29% (0.014999999999993 0.01)50.71% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)28.97% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)64.86% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 47.15%
    Forest Green Rovers 28.65%
    Draw 24.2%
Swindon TownDrawForest Green Rovers
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 47.15%
1-1 @ 11.34%
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 28.65%

Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Forest Green
1-2
Swindon
Stevens (14')
Omotoye (13'), Bunker (42'), Kadji (70'), Bernard (72'), Daniels (88')
Bunker (61')
Kemp (47'), Blake-Tracy (90+4')
Kinsella (26'), Blake-Tracy (45+4'), Godwin-Malife (85')
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Swindon
2-1
Forest Green
Barry (15'), Payne (40')
Iandolo (36'), Williams (53'), McKirdy (85'), Payne (90+3')
Iandolo (53')
March (69')
Godwin-Malife (13'), Adams (59'), March (63'), Young (82')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 11
Forest Green
0-2
Swindon

Sweeney (45+1'), Matt (45+2')
McKirdy (54'), Simpson (81')
McKirdy (66')
> Preview
Nov 10, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Forest Green
0-1
Swindon

Covil (49')
Broadbent (90+3')
Curran (38')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 37
Swindon
0-2
Forest Green

Doughty (22'), Grant (36')
Stevens (5'), Adams (50')
Dawson (30'), McGinley (73'), (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
18Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
19Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
21Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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