Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.35%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.