Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.