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Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 35
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
1 - 0
Tamworth

Ubaezuonu (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Tamworth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chorley 3-0 Southport
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-0 Tamworth
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
ChorleyDrawTamworth
35.86% (3.293 3.29) 27.02% (0.413 0.41) 37.11% (-3.718 -3.72)
Both teams to score 50.83% (-0.752 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.53% (-1.208 -1.21)54.46% (1.197 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.17% (-1.014 -1.01)75.82% (1.004 1)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92% (1.509 1.51)29.07% (-1.519 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35% (1.828 1.83)64.99% (-1.839 -1.84)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (-2.648 -2.65)28.32% (2.637 2.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94% (-3.462 -3.46)64.05% (3.452 3.45)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 35.86%
    Tamworth 37.1%
    Draw 27.02%
ChorleyDrawTamworth
1-0 @ 10.17% (0.864 0.86)
2-1 @ 7.93% (0.434 0.43)
2-0 @ 6.28% (0.771 0.77)
3-1 @ 3.26% (0.306 0.31)
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.411 0.41)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 35.86%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.377 0.38)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 10.38% (-0.3 -0.3)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.504 -0.5)
0-2 @ 6.55% (-0.706 -0.71)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.492 -0.49)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.534 -0.53)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.205 -0.21)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.251 -0.25)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 37.1%

Head to Head
Sep 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Tamworth
2-1
Chorley
Arlott-John (21'), Finn (32')
Hazlehurst (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS


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