MX23RW : Friday, July 26 23:40:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 33
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium
Dover Athletic

Worthing
6 - 4
Dover Athletic

Fage (20'), Colbran (25'), Pearce (45+8', 51', 61' pen., 71')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Wilkinson (45+11', 76'), Baptiste (45+16' pen.), Hatcher (90')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aveley 0-3 Worthing
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 3-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 72.17%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 11.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 3-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 6-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
WorthingDrawDover Athletic
72.17% (-0.81 -0.81) 16.12% (0.415 0.41) 11.71% (0.394 0.39)
Both teams to score 56.01% (-0.294 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.56% (-0.99499999999999 -0.99)32.44% (0.995 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.92% (-1.163 -1.16)54.08% (1.163 1.16)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.15% (-0.402 -0.4)7.85% (0.402 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.17% (-1.034 -1.03)27.83% (1.033 1.03)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.79% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)39.21% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.08% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)75.92% (0.050000000000011 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 72.17%
    Dover Athletic 11.71%
    Draw 16.12%
WorthingDrawDover Athletic
2-0 @ 9.97% (0.129 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.107 0.11)
3-0 @ 8.45% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.91% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.83% (0.258 0.26)
4-0 @ 5.38% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-1 @ 5.03% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.74% (-0.135 -0.14)
5-1 @ 2.56% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.074 -0.07)
5-2 @ 1.2% (-0.063 -0.06)
6-0 @ 1.16% (-0.082 -0.08)
6-1 @ 1.09% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 72.17%
1-1 @ 7.33% (0.231 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.044 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.08% (0.162 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 16.12%
1-2 @ 3.43% (0.104 0.1)
0-1 @ 2.88% (0.148 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.35% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 11.71%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Dover Athletic
0-2
Worthing
Wheeler (8'), Meekums (82')
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Dover Athletic
0-3
Worthing
Wills (10'), Pearce (26'), Kealy (69')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
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