Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Yeovil Town |
39.38% ( -0.24) | 25.32% ( 0.06) | 35.29% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 56.46% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.74% ( -0.25) | 47.26% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.51% ( -0.23) | 69.49% ( 0.23) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.27% ( -0.23) | 23.73% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.14% ( -0.34) | 57.86% ( 0.33) |
Yeovil Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.03% ( -0.02) | 25.97% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.02% ( -0.02) | 60.98% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Yeovil Town |
1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.38% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 3.36% Total : 35.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 30 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 27 |
3 | York City | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Gateshead | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Rochdale | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 24 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 17 |
14 | Tamworth | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Woking | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 16 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 14 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 14 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 13 |
21 | Fylde | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 12 |
22 | Boston UnitedBoston | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 6 |
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