Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 37.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Sutton United |
37.51% ( -0.03) | 24.4% ( -0.03) | 38.09% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 59.96% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.18% ( 0.13) | 42.82% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.77% ( 0.13) | 65.23% ( -0.13) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.29% ( 0.05) | 22.72% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.62% ( 0.06) | 56.38% ( -0.06) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.58% ( 0.09) | 22.42% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.06% ( 0.13) | 55.94% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Sutton United |
2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.51% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 38.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 31 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 30 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
22 | Fylde | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 18 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 20 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 44 | -29 | 9 |
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