Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Solihull Moors had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Solihull Moors win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
Result | ||
Solihull Moors | Draw | York City |
34.24% ( -4.38) | 25.43% ( -0.31) | 40.33% ( 4.69) |
Both teams to score 55.9% ( 0.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.09% ( 1.18) | 47.9% ( -1.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.91% ( 1.07) | 70.08% ( -1.07) |
Solihull Moors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.1% ( -1.94) | 26.9% ( 1.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.78% ( -2.62) | 62.21% ( 2.62) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.47% ( 3.09) | 23.53% ( -3.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.42% ( 4.28) | 57.58% ( -4.27) |
Score Analysis |
Solihull Moors | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.91) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.57) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.94) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.46) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.57) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.23) Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.24% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.62) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.81) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.63) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.63) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.28) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.34) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.31) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.04% Total : 40.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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