Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
Result | ||
Livingston | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
46.86% ( -0.12) | 25.6% ( 0.03) | 27.54% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 52.16% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.68% ( -0.05) | 51.32% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.85% ( -0.05) | 73.15% ( 0.05) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.1% ( -0.07) | 21.9% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.85% ( -0.11) | 55.15% ( 0.11) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.78% ( 0.04) | 33.22% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.17% ( 0.05) | 69.83% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Livingston | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 46.85% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 27.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 20 |
2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 18 |
3 | Livingston | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 16 |
4 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
5 | Partick ThistlePartick | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 10 |
6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 9 |
8 | Raith Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 7 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |