Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Aberdeen |
46.35% ( 0.14) | 25.07% ( -0.03) | 28.58% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 54.57% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.49% ( 0.04) | 48.5% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.36% ( 0.03) | 70.63% ( -0.04) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.04% ( 0.07) | 20.96% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.29% ( 0.12) | 53.71% ( -0.13) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.04% ( -0.07) | 30.96% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.74% ( -0.08) | 67.26% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Aberdeen |
1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 46.34% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 47 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |