2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Apr 5, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Imtech Arena
Hamburger SV4 - 0Erzgebirge Aue
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Hamburger SV and Erzgebirge Aue.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hamburger SV 0-2 Hertha Berlin
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Next Game: Bayreuth vs. Hamburger SV
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 22 | 63 |
| 3 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 32 | 60 |
| 4 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 25 | 60 |
Last Game: Dynamo Dresden 0-1 Erzgebirge Aue
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Erzgebirge Aue | 34 | -40 | 26 |
| 18 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 34 | -35 | 21 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 67.9%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 14.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Erzgebirge Aue |
| 67.9% | 17.87% | 14.23% |
| Both teams to score 57.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
