Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
33.45% | 26.53% | 40.02% |
Both teams to score 52.06% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.24% | 52.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.61% | 74.39% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.24% | 29.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.17% | 65.82% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.11% | 25.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.13% | 60.87% |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.34% 2-1 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.45% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 8.53% 0-2 @ 7.03% 1-3 @ 3.84% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 21 |
2 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 17 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 14 |
5 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Villarreal | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
7 | Osasuna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
12 | GironaGirona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
13 | Sevilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
15 | Getafe | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
17 | Leganes | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
18 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |