League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Kassam Stadium
Oxford Utd3 - 0AFC Wimbledon
We said: Oxford United 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Two sides with contrasting fortunes so far this season, the form book points towards a comfortable Oxford win. While Wimbledon will likely be no pushovers, the playoff-chasing U's should have enough to edge past their London opponents. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 59.14% | 22.11% | 18.75% |
| Both teams to score 52.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
