Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Alessandria had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Alessandria win was 1-0 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.