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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre

Rosario
3 - 1
Argentinos Jrs

Komar (14'), Cervera (17'), Malcorra (65')
O'Connor (37'), Komar (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Avalos (49' pen.)
Di Cesare (41'), Gabriel Montiel (50'), Torren (66'), Galvan (83')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario Central and Argentinos Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rosario Central

All competitions
Last Game: Instituto 0-0 Rosario
Wednesday, October 25 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Argentinos Juniors

All competitions
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-2 Huracan
Wednesday, October 25 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 1-0 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawArgentinos Juniors
34.15% (0.472 0.47) 28.68% (0.568 0.57) 37.17% (-1.039 -1.04)
Both teams to score 45.71% (-1.571 -1.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.22% (-1.966 -1.97)60.77% (1.968 1.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.17% (-1.504 -1.5)80.82% (1.505 1.51)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (-0.702 -0.7)33.36% (0.704 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.01% (-0.779 -0.78)69.99% (0.78 0.78)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6% (-1.618 -1.62)31.4% (1.619 1.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (-1.917 -1.92)67.77% (1.918 1.92)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 34.15%
    Argentinos Juniors 37.16%
    Draw 28.67%
Rosario CentralDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 11.5% (0.62 0.62)
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.31% (0.222 0.22)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 34.15%
1-1 @ 13.32% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 10.47% (0.742 0.74)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.233 -0.23)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.67%
0-1 @ 12.13% (0.35 0.35)
1-2 @ 7.72% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-2 @ 7.03% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.245 -0.25)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.169 -0.17)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 37.16%

Head to Head
Jan 27, 2023 10.15pm
Gameweek 1
Rosario
1-0
Argentinos Jrs
Candia (19')
Sep 9, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 18
Argentinos Jrs
2-1
Rosario
Oct 3, 2021 5.30pm
Second Phase
Rosario
0-1
Argentinos Jrs

Gonzalez (41'), Martinez (71'), Ojeda (90+2')
Ferreyra (38')
Carabajal (48')
Florentin (55'), Mac Allister (89')
Milito (46')
Feb 15, 2021 10.15pm
First Phase
Rosario
2-1
Argentinos Jrs
Martinez (41'), Gamba (43')
Vecchio (33')
Roman Pucheta (85')
Gomez (83'), Di Cesare (90+3')
Mar 7, 2020 12.10am
Gameweek 23
Argentinos Jrs
2-1
Rosario
Quintana (33'), Vera (59')
Batallini (49'), Mac Allister (69')
Ruben (15')
Pereyra (39'), Laso (65')
rhs 2.0
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